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Очень бы хотелось знать, кто тот негодяй, разгласивший новость о постоянном базировании российских ВКС на базе в Хамадане. Открытым остаётся и вопрос, когда же Президент почистит 5 колонну в своём окружении, ведь судя по происходящим событиям, страна живёт в грозовое время. Об этом говорят и полномасштабные учения, проверяющие готовность России к действиям в условиях чрезвычайного положения, и проверка готовности служб тыла и гражданских учреждений к действиям в условиях военного времени.

Во все времена хватало болтунов, а то и прямых предателей, по которым давно плачут нары в местах не столь отдалённых, и этот случай не является исключением.

Да, официально наши военные и гражданские ведомства объяснили уход ВКС из Ирана якобы ввиду выполнения поставленных задач. Но  аэродром в Хамадане является сильным подспорьем России в ведении войны в Сирии, потому она вряд ли откажется от его использования в дальнейшем по полной программе. Вот только властные болтуны здорово всё осложнили, сыграв на руку англосаксонским людоедам. И в этой связи вполне объяснимо резкое недовольство Министра обороны Ирана Хоссейна Дехгана. Всё таки надо уметь держать свой собственный длинный язык за зубами, когда дело касается интересов государства.

Болтун – находка Вашингтона

23 августа 2016 г.

КОНСТАНТИН СИВКОВ О МОТИВАХ СОЗДАНИЯ НАЦИОНАЛЬНОЙ ГВАРДИИ: НА КОНЕЦ ГОДА ДЛЯ РОССИИ ГОТОВЯТ СЕРЬЕЗНЫЕ СОБЫТИЯ     Автор: Константин Сивков

Справка

Сивков Константин Валентинович— военный эксперт, общественный деятель, доктор военных наук, специалист в военной политологии, член-корреспондент Российской академии ракетно-артиллерийских наук, капитан первого ранга, первый вице-президент Академии Геополитических Проблем.

После громких заявлений о появлении в Иране российской базы ВКС и некоторой вызванной этим эйфории, как гром среди ясного неба, последовало сообщение о том, что наши самолеты покидают Хамадан. Первоначальное недоумение сменилось стремлением разобраться: почему это случилось и каковы перспективы.

Разъяснения официальных источников Минобороны России вселяют надежду – речь идет о временном прекращении использования базы и возможности в ближайшей перспективе вернуться.

Однако заявления официальных лиц Ирана, в частности министра обороны, заставили задуматься. Выступление Хоссейна Дехгана было выдержано в довольно жестких тонах, далеких от дипломатического стиля. Прозвучали две основные позиции. Первая из них состоит в том, что «Россия поступила не по-джентельменски», разгласив факт базирования своей авиации на иранской авиабазе. Вторая заключалась в недопустимости позиционирования Россией себя как глобального доминанта за счет Ирана.

Трудно предполагать, что Хоссейн Дехган мог пойти на голословные обвинения в адрес страны, объективно являющейся важнейшим союзником, от которого в решающей мере зависит безопасность Исламской республики. Значит договоренности о неразглашении существовали. И российская сторона их нарушила. Естественно возникает вопрос: кто это у нас такой болтливый, что в угоду сиюминутной сенсации готов принести в жертву долгосрочные геополитические интересы страны. Выводы неутешительные – источник находится в одном из трех ведомств: Минобороны, МИД, Администрация президента. Значит, в этих ведущих организациях объявился некто, по крайней глупости либо по злому умыслу разгласивший закрытую информацию, что нанесло серьезный ущерб обороноспособности России. А это подпадает под статью об измене Родине.

Между тем непредвзятый анализ говорит о том, что российская база в Иране – серьезнейший удар по американской сфере влияния на Ближнем и Среднем Востоке. Для США это тяжелейшее поражение, наверное, даже более страшное, чем потеря Украиной Крыма. Представители «пятой колонны» в России наличествуют, поэтому логично предположить, что такое разглашение – направленная враждебная акция, преследующая цель разрушить намечающий российско-иранский союз, к которому может примкнуть и Турция. Ось Москва-Анкара-Тегеран – страшный сон американской элиты. Поэтому «пятиколонники» вполне могли помочь своим покровителям или просто Западу как кумиру в срыве этого проекта. Наверное, нашим спецслужбам стоит принять исключительные меры к тому, чтобы найти болтуна и привлечь к самой строгой ответственности, пригвоздив его в СМИ столь же масштабно, как разошлась информация о нашей базе в Хамадане. Это позволит снять вину с российского истеблишмента в целом и восстановить его репутацию.

Мне могут возразить: США имеют крупнейшую группировку космической разведки. Верно. Однако однозначно квалифицировать статус российской авиации на базе Хамадан они не могут. Наши самолеты регулярно совершали промежуточные посадки на этом аэродроме для дозаправки при полете в Сирию и это не вызывало никаких тревог у США – обычная практика. Туда летали наши самолеты для доставки различных грузов. Тоже штатная ситуация. Именно сообщение о том, что база предоставляется для российских ВКС, взорвало ситуацию.

Со временем страсти улягутся. На первый план выйдут соображения военно-стратегической и геополитической необходимости, которые настоятельно диктуют российско-иранское сближение, создание в перспективе союзных военно-политических отношений между нашими странами. Роль группировки ВКС РФ на Хамадане как ключевого фактора безопасности не столько России, сколько самого Ирана, станет еще более очевидной по мере обострения обстановки в Сирии и других «горячих точках» БСВ. Стоит напомнить, что курдские формирования, ориентированные на США, начали боевые действия против армии Асада, то есть против главного союзника Москвы и Тегерана в регионе. Российской авиации придется вернуться в Хамадан. А соседи Ирана постепенно начнут свыкаться с мыслью, что в ИРИ могут не только появляться, но и базироваться наши самолеты.

Константин Сивков, доктор военных наук, обозреватель «ВПК»

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