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Наверно мало кто может потягаться с нашим президентом в искусстве ведения политической интриги. Вот и на сей раз он глубоко озадачил западный истеблишмент своим очередным указом, касающимся приостановки действия соглашения по плутонию. Но вопрос стоит шире- либо полноценное сотрудничество, либо “кто не спрятался- я не виноват”.
Россия не просто расправила плечи, Россия неудержимо пошла вперёд и нет теперь таких препятствий, которые бы она не преодолела.
И хочется надеяться, что в Европе всё таки есть здравые силы, которые понимают все правильно и наконец осознали дилемму— продолжать лизать сапоги Белому Дому, подводя мир на грань нового глобального противостояния или попытаться подтолкнуть Вашингтон к новой Ялте и вернуть в этот мир хоть какой-то порядок.
Молодца Наш Президент, всегда умеет оказаться в нужном месте в нужное время!
С Днём Рождения, Владимир Владимирович! Здоровья и Удачи в делах на благо Отечества! Виват!
Комментарий: От холодной войны Light – к холодной войне-2
4 октября 2016 г.
Автор: Константин Эггерт
Справка
Константин Эггерт – российский журналист, ведущий программ телеканала “Дождь”. Автор еженедельной колонки на DW. Константин Эггерт в Facebook: Konstantin von Eggert.
Кремль презирает Обаму, надеется на Трампа и в обозримом будущем намерен лишь наращивать конфронтацию с Западом, пишет в комментарии специально для DW Константин Эггерт.
- Владимир Путин и Барак Обама, сентябрь 2015 года
Владимир Путин ответил сразу и Бараку Обаме с Джоном Керри с их претензиями по поводу российской политики в Сирии, и нидерландской комиссии по расследованию катастрофы малазийского “Боинга”. Законопроект о приостановке действия соглашения с США от 2000 года об утилизации излишков плутония, отправленный Кремлем в Государственную думу, впервые на моей памяти увязывает сугубо технические вопросы ядерного разоружения с чисто политическими требованиями: отменить “закон Магнитского”, снять санкции и компенсировать понесенный от них ущерб. Мол, если американцы сделают это, то Москва возобновит действие договора.
Основной же смысл послания, по мнению Эггерта — это расставить все точки над i с будущей американской администрацией, дабы предложение либо провести «Ялту-2», либо окончательно разойтись с «партнерами».
“Уважайте свои угрозы!“
Совершенно ясно, что руководство США, даже если бы хотело, то не смогло бы выполнить ни одно из этих условия без риска конфронтации с Конгрессом и цунами критики в СМИ. Путин это прекрасно знает. Он намеренно выдвигает Белому дому неприемлемые требования. Президент России одновременно презирает Барака Обаму за слабость и не любит за самоуверенность.
Над Джоном Керри, который глубоко убежден в своих способностях убедить кого угодно в чем угодно, и Кремль, и Смоленская площадь откровенно потешаются все эти годы. Чтобы понять, какие чувства госсекретарь США вызывает в Москве, достаточно вспомнить, как Сергей Лавров с усмешкой вручал ему в виде подарка корзинку с сочинскими овощами.
Указ и законопроект, обнародованные в понедельник, – откровенная демонстрация того, что с нынешней американской администрацией Кремль больше никаких дел иметь не будет. Возникает впечатление, что президент России буквально подначивает Вашингтон: “Ну, хоть одну свою угрозу приведите в исполнение!” Привели. Керри объявил об отказе от дальнейших консультаций с Россией по сирийскому вопросу.
Это никого в Москве не опечалит. В Сирию, по некоторым сообщениям, уже доставлены зенитно-ракетные комплексы С-300. Думаю, в ближайшие дни стоит ожидать нового штурма Алеппо сирийской армией при российской поддержке с воздуха уже безо всякой даже формальной оглядки на то, что думают по этому поводу в Белом доме и Госдепе.
Послание Трампу и Клинтон
Но только откровенным афронтом Обаме и Керри этот шаг Кремля не ограничивается. Адресат послания – и будущая американская администрация, и Запад как таковой. Договор об утилизации плутония выбран не случайно. Во-первых, в Москве давно считают, что Россия сделала больше для его выполнения, чем Америка, которая внезапно посчитала предлагаемые договором методы утилизации радиоактивного материала неприемлемыми.
Во-вторых, сам по себе документ в данном случае – яркий символ того, что теперь для Москвы нет запретных тем, и она готова поставить под сомнения любые договоренности постсоветской, перестроечной и даже советской эпохи.
Из Договора об обычных вооружениях (ДОВСЕ) Россия фактически вышла. Своими действиями в Крыму и Донбассе Кремль показал, что и Заключительный акт Хельсинкского совещания по безопасности и сотрудничеству в Европе 1975 года с его положением о нерушимости европейских границ для Москвы больше неважен. Не удивлюсь, если скоро российское руководство официально объявит о том, что больше не считает его обязательным для России документом.
Ялта-2?
Кремль нагнетает напряженность для того, чтобы заставить следующую администрацию США либо пойти на уступки, либо оказаться перед лицом дальнейшей конфронтации с непредсказуемыми последствиями. Программа максимум для Кремля – добиться новой grand bargain, “большой сделки” о разделе сфер влияния в Европе и на постсоветском пространстве.
Политологи любят называть этот проект Ялта-2, по имени Ялтинской конференции союзников по антигитлеровской коалиции в феврале 1945 года. На ней Сталин, Рузвельт и Черчилль решали судьбы послевоенной Европы.
Кроме того, в Москве надеются, что, как это бывало и при советах, и после войны 2008 года с Грузией, НАТО и ЕС рано или поздно скажут: “Давайте оставим наши разногласия по Крыму, Украине и Сирии за скобками и возобновим ограниченное сотрудничество”. Это могут быть, например контакты военных по линии НАТО, или обмен информацией по борьбе с терроризмом, или содействие правительству Афганистана.
Никаких признаков того, что Запад на это согласится, пока нет. Однако в Москве думают, что все изменится к лучшему после 20 января 2017 года, когда состоится инаугурация нового президента США, особенно если это будет Дональд Трамп.
Но даже если Вашингтон и европейцы займут жесткую позицию, Путин не собирается отступать. Фактическое увеличение секретных статей бюджета на 700 миллиардов рублей, объявленное в понедельник, 3 октября, может означать лишь одно: российское руководство готово перейти от холодной войны Light к полномасштабной холодной войне-2.
Метки: Германия, Запад, новость, политика, Путин, Россия, Сирия, СМИ, США
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Кох, это который, глава госкомимущества и который курировал залоговые аукционы? Ну конечно, только ему и говорить о “Крестном отце”, больше некому.