Мысли вслух

Мысли вслух

Экономика

Наступил август…

1 августа 2018 г.

   Автор: Михаил Хазин

Справка

Михаил Леонидович Хазин- российский экономист, статистик, публицист, журналист, теле- и радиоведущий, бывший чиновник администрации президента.

Месяц для нас всегда немножко мистический, поскольку все расслабляются, все начальники уходят в отпуск, те, кому положено «держать» ситуацию расслабляются и начинается… Ну, все знают, что начинается. И в этой ситуации мне хотелось бы несколько слов сказать о том, какие у нас, собственно, могут быть неприятности. 

Наступил август…

Разумеется, речь идет вовсе не о неприятностях, а только о рукотворных событиях. Собственно, этот текст, в некотором смысле, ответ на вопрос о том, почему столь сильны российские либералы и почему их нельзя тронуть.

И для начала я опишу ситуацию, в которой мы все сегодня находимся.

Мы живем в финансовой системе, которая создана в своей базовой конфигурации на Бреттон-Вудской конференции (аналог Ялтинской, но в финансах), и которая управляется главным координатором — Международным валютным фондом.

Эта система в настоящее время находится в кризисе и одно из проявлений этого кризиса — отсутствие долларовой ликвидности. Созданная для расширения и поддержания долларового оборота система весьма и весьма затратна. И в ее себестоимость входит не только высокая зарплата топ-менеджмента финансовых институтов (не только банков), но и те деньги, которые выводятся из системы для решения разного рода сторонних вопросов. К таковым, например, относятся финансирование конкретных политиков и политических групп практически во всех странах мира, аналогичное финансирование журналистов и базовых СМИ (в том числе, завышение для них рекламных доходов), экспертов самого разного рода и пошива, от «супер-гуру» до разных конспирологов и «экзотериков» (это не ошибка, это отношение к предмету!).

Все это стоит очень дорого и именно для того, чтобы эту систему содержать и контролировать, а работает она, как видно на примере компаний по малазийскому «Боингу», «делу Скрипалей», «делу Литвиненко», атакам на Трампа и так далее и тому подобное, очень эффективно.

И отказ от нее может стоить ее хозяевам — банкирам очень дорого (в политическом смысле). Поскольку без этой системы контроля общественного мнения у элиты «Западного» глобального проекта будут крайне серьезные проблемы: станет достоянием широкой общественности и реальное состояние дел с экономикой, и полное отсутствие каких-либо доказательств по наиболее крупным общественно-политическим кампаниям (я не только наезды на Россию имею в виду), и начнут «пролезать» на ключевые позиции в государственном управлении совершенно «неправильные» (то есть не находящиеся под контролем) личности… Трамп, вон, уже пролез!

В общем, деньги нужны позарез. Но с 2014 года основной источник этих денег, эмиссия доллара, исчез. Я писал про то, что именно контроль над эмиссионным станком стал главной причиной конфликта Трамп-Клинтон, причем Клинтон как раз представляла интересы финансистов (элиты «Западного» проекта). А «неформал» Трамп — альтернативные элитные группы (как понятно с учетом вышесказанного, политический «формал» через систему барьеров, созданных финансистами, прорваться бы не мог).

Поскольку главный координатор бреттон-вудской системы — МВФ, именно МВФ должен был осуществить операцию по замене главного источника пополнения ликвидности для мировой финансовой системы на какие-то альтернативные. И про это я тоже много писал: одним из главных (пусть и временных) источников стали деньги развивающихся стран.

Именно после решения остановить эмиссию доллара в середине 2014 года, МВФ дал команду ослаблять валюты развивающихся стран и усиливать валюты стран развитых.

Соответственно, у тех развивающихся стран, которые эту команду выполнили например, Чехия, Азербайджан, Россия произошла значительная утечка капитала. А что утекло из капитала в национальной валюте, так или иначе, притекло в доллары.

Понимание всего вышесказанного немедленно вызывает вопрос, который мне задают по сто раз на день:

Путин что, не понимает, насколько его кидают? Собственно, девальвация в этой ситуации такая же политическая провокация против него, как и пенсионная реформа (только осуществленная ЦБ, а не правительством, но под кураторством той же самой либеральной команды, которую создала и «окормляет» элита «Западного» проекта, те самые финансисты), почему за них никто не наказан и не уволен? Или он с ними заодно?

А вот теперь представим себе, что Путин по итогам декабря 2014 года увольняет Набиуллину и назначает Глазьева. Глава МВФ Лагард выражает свое неудовольствие (как она не так давно, на Санкт-Петербургском форуме высказала свое неудовольствие предложением Курина по повышении «уровня отсечения», то есть, фактически о снижении той дани, которую мы регулярно платим для поддержки ликвидности долларовой системы) и требует внутренней экспертизы. Эксперты выносят свой вердикт: «Глазьев человек некомпетентный и финансовая система России под угрозой».

На основании этой экспертизы все рейтинговые агентства снижают суверенный рейтинг России ниже инвестиционного. Соответственно, падает рейтинг всех российских компаний (поскольку он не может быть выше суверенного рейтинга России). Рефинансирование российской экономики полностью прекращается, всем компаниям, у которых есть обязательства в долларах (даже перед российскими банками) предлагается полностью пересмотреть свои бизнес-планы в соответствии с упавшими рейтингами и выросшими рисками (это без каких-либо новых санкций!). Многим из них предлагается пересмотреть график возврата кредитов в сторону существенного сокращения времени кредитования…

Все международные банки, получив указание от МВФ, резко ужесточают контроль за деньгами российского происхождения. Нет, Боже упаси, никакой конфискации! Просто для обычного перевода денег контрагенту от вас начинают требовать все документы об источниках ваших денег: от полных балансов до оригиналов всех контрактов со всеми контрагентами на много лет назад. И пока все эти документы не будут исследованы, транзакция проведена быть не может, увы… Нет, вы можете закрыть свой счет, но вернуть свои деньги с него можно будет только после предоставления соответствующих документов… Ничего личного, только безопасность, вы же сами в ней заинтересованы, не так ли?

И это только то, что лезет в голову сразу. А есть ведь и куда более сложные схемы, которые, тем не менее могут очень серьезно подорвать нашу экономику.

И что, вы готовы, будучи на месте Путина, начать такую операцию и бороться с последствиями таких действий? Или, вы думаете, что ура-патриоты (о либеральных троллях я даже не говорю) перестанут в такой ситуации ругать Путина? Да нет же, они тут же начнут вопить, что либеральный агент Путин специально подорвал финансовую систему России, чтобы разрушить остатки оборонного и промышленного сектора…

Вот и подумайте теперь три минуты, вы сами готовы маневрировать политикой страны в такой ситуации? Я вот — не готов. Впрочем, у нас такое количество «пикейных жилетов», что умники все равно найдутся. Но здесь, на этом сайте, я их не потерплю.

Метки: , , , , , , , , , ,

Отзывов (132) на «МВФ рулит Россией: Почему столь сильны российские либералы и почему Путин их не трогает»

  1. A lot of thanks for all of your hard work on this web page. My daughter takes pleasure in engaging in investigation and it's easy to see why. I hear all about the compelling ways you convey priceless tricks via the web site and therefore strongly encourage response from other ones on the subject and our favorite princess has always been becoming educated a whole lot. Take advantage of the rest of the year. You have been doing a first class job.

  2. Thank you a lot for giving everyone an extraordinarily superb chance to read articles and blog posts from here. It is always so terrific and also packed with a good time for me personally and my office peers to visit your site nearly 3 times in one week to find out the latest issues you have got. And indeed, I'm so at all times satisfied concerning the eye-popping pointers served by you. Selected 2 areas in this article are without a doubt the most impressive I've had.

  3. I'm just writing to let you be aware of of the magnificent experience my wife's child experienced visiting your web page. She learned a lot of issues, which include how it is like to have an awesome giving style to let a number of people with no trouble have an understanding of a number of extremely tough topics. You actually surpassed our own expectations. Many thanks for providing these practical, healthy, educational and in addition unique thoughts on your topic to Evelyn.

  4. My spouse and i have been so excited Jordan managed to finish off his investigations because of the precious recommendations he got using your weblog. It's not at all simplistic to simply find yourself making a gift of concepts which many others could have been selling. We take into account we have got the website owner to give thanks to for this. Most of the explanations you have made, the simple blog navigation, the friendships you can help to promote — it's got most extraordinary, and it's really leading our son in addition to us reckon that this subject is pleasurable, and that's seriously serious. Thanks for the whole lot!

  5. I have to point out my love for your generosity supporting persons that should have help on this subject. Your real commitment to passing the message up and down ended up being extremely powerful and have truly encouraged men and women much like me to get to their objectives. This useful report implies a lot a person like me and further more to my fellow workers. Thanks a lot; from everyone of us.

  6. I am just writing to make you be aware of of the awesome encounter our child went through going through your webblog. She noticed plenty of pieces, not to mention what it's like to have an excellent giving heart to have other individuals very easily master various very confusing subject areas. You truly did more than my expectations. Thank you for giving the necessary, safe, educational and also unique guidance on that topic to Mary.

  7. I am writing to make you understand what a extraordinary experience my cousin's daughter undergone using your web site. She discovered lots of pieces, which included what it is like to possess an awesome teaching nature to get men and women very easily understand certain impossible subject areas. You really surpassed our desires. Many thanks for presenting those invaluable, dependable, educational as well as fun guidance on that topic to Julie.

  8. I really wanted to send a quick comment in order to say thanks to you for those remarkable guidelines you are giving out at this site. My long internet search has now been honored with reputable knowledge to go over with my companions. I would assert that many of us website visitors actually are rather fortunate to be in a useful site with many outstanding individuals with useful plans. I feel pretty privileged to have encountered the web page and look forward to tons of more enjoyable moments reading here. Thanks again for all the details.

  9. I simply desired to say thanks once again. I'm not certain the things that I would have tried without the solutions documented by you regarding this topic. It became a terrifying difficulty for me, nevertheless discovering this specialised strategy you processed it forced me to weep for contentment. I am thankful for this service and then hope you recognize what a great job that you're getting into training the rest with the aid of a blog. Probably you've never come across any of us.

  10. I definitely wanted to jot down a brief word so as to appreciate you for these amazing ideas you are giving out at this website. My rather long internet lookup has now been compensated with reputable concept to write about with my close friends. I 'd repeat that we site visitors are truly blessed to exist in a perfect network with many special people with interesting things. I feel pretty fortunate to have used your webpages and look forward to many more thrilling moments reading here. Thank you once again for all the details.

  11. I not to mention my buddies have been reading the great ideas from your website then unexpectedly got a horrible feeling I had not expressed respect to you for those techniques. All of the ladies became as a result very interested to see all of them and now have in truth been enjoying these things. We appreciate you genuinely simply kind and also for using this form of very good ideas most people are really desperate to understand about. My personal honest apologies for not expressing gratitude to sooner.

  12. Thank you a lot for providing individuals with an extremely breathtaking chance to read in detail from this blog. It is often very beneficial and jam-packed with a lot of fun for me personally and my office mates to visit your web site at least 3 times weekly to read the fresh guides you will have. Not to mention, I'm also actually happy concerning the stunning creative ideas served by you. Selected 3 points in this posting are undoubtedly the very best we've ever had.

  13. I have to convey my appreciation for your kind-heartedness supporting folks that have the need for help on this study. Your special dedication to getting the message throughout became especially useful and have continuously empowered others like me to achieve their desired goals. Your new informative guide can mean a great deal a person like me and a whole lot more to my office workers. Thank you; from all of us.

  14. My husband and i felt now fulfilled that Michael managed to carry out his investigation using the precious recommendations he grabbed from your own blog. It is now and again perplexing to simply always be making a gift of tactics that many others may have been selling. And we all already know we need the writer to thank for that. The entire explanations you have made, the straightforward website navigation, the friendships you will give support to promote — it's got all excellent, and it's really making our son and our family believe that this idea is awesome, which is quite essential. Thanks for all!

  15. I truly wanted to write down a comment so as to thank you for some of the splendid ideas you are writing at this site. My extended internet lookup has finally been honored with good quality points to go over with my company. I 'd say that we readers are undoubtedly lucky to live in a good place with many marvellous professionals with great hints. I feel quite fortunate to have seen the site and look forward to many more fun minutes reading here. Thank you again for all the details.

  16. I definitely wanted to construct a note in order to appreciate you for those great recommendations you are posting at this website. My time consuming internet research has at the end of the day been paid with high-quality facts to share with my classmates and friends. I 'd mention that many of us site visitors actually are rather endowed to exist in a really good network with many special individuals with great methods. I feel very much fortunate to have come across your entire webpages and look forward to tons of more excellent times reading here. Thank you once again for a lot of things.

  17. I am glad for writing to make you be aware of what a cool encounter my cousin's child encountered reading the blog. She came to understand a wide variety of details, not to mention how it is like to possess an awesome teaching character to get other individuals without problems gain knowledge of selected tortuous subject matter. You truly surpassed our expected results. Many thanks for giving these informative, healthy, revealing and as well as unique thoughts on this topic to Mary.

  18. I together with my buddies happened to be taking note of the nice secrets and techniques found on your web blog and all of a sudden I had an awful suspicion I never thanked the website owner for those tips. All of the young men are already absolutely thrilled to learn them and have without a doubt been taking advantage of them. Appreciation for indeed being really accommodating and then for pick out certain incredibly good subject areas millions of individuals are really desirous to discover. Our own honest regret for not expressing gratitude to sooner.

  19. I wanted to type a note to be able to thank you for these nice concepts you are posting at this site. My time consuming internet look up has at the end been recognized with reputable content to share with my guests. I 'd repeat that we readers actually are very much fortunate to live in a good site with many lovely professionals with beneficial concepts. I feel really blessed to have seen your entire webpages and look forward to tons of more brilliant minutes reading here. Thanks again for a lot of things.

  20. I not to mention my friends were looking through the good things from your web site while all of the sudden got a terrible feeling I never expressed respect to the site owner for those tips. These men are actually so joyful to read them and have now surely been taking pleasure in those things. Thanks for being indeed accommodating and also for choosing variety of exceptional subject areas millions of individuals are really eager to be informed on. My very own honest regret for not expressing appreciation to sooner.

  21. There are some attention-grabbing deadlines on this article but I don抰 know if I see all of them middle to heart. There may be some validity but I will take hold opinion until I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we wish more! Added to FeedBurner as properly

  22. A lot of thanks for your own hard work on this website. Kate really likes doing investigation and it is simple to grasp why. Almost all hear all relating to the dynamic form you make simple ideas by means of this web site and as well recommend response from some other people on the theme while our girl is now becoming educated a lot of things. Take pleasure in the rest of the new year. You are conducting a dazzling job.

  23. I just wanted to write down a small word to be able to appreciate you for these great steps you are giving at this site. My particularly long internet investigation has at the end of the day been rewarded with professional facts and strategies to share with my friends and family. I would mention that many of us website visitors are unquestionably fortunate to exist in a decent site with very many lovely people with beneficial techniques. I feel truly grateful to have used the website and look forward to many more entertaining times reading here. Thank you again for everything.

  24. I would like to show my appreciation to this writer for rescuing me from this predicament. Just after looking out throughout the the web and meeting ways that were not powerful, I thought my entire life was over. Being alive devoid of the strategies to the difficulties you've solved all through your main posting is a serious case, and the ones which could have in a wrong way affected my entire career if I had not discovered your blog. The mastery and kindness in handling all things was tremendous. I don't know what I would've done if I hadn't come upon such a subject like this. I'm able to at this moment look ahead to my future. Thanks very much for this impressive and sensible guide. I will not be reluctant to endorse the website to any individual who wants and needs recommendations on this subject matter.

  25. My husband and i ended up being thankful that Louis managed to deal with his preliminary research out of the precious recommendations he grabbed out of your site. It's not at all simplistic just to possibly be handing out tips and tricks that some people have been selling. We really fully understand we have you to be grateful to because of that. The specific illustrations you've made, the easy website menu, the friendships you give support to instill — it's got mostly awesome, and it's aiding our son and the family feel that the theme is awesome, and that's wonderfully indispensable. Thank you for all!

  26. My spouse and i were very joyful Peter could do his preliminary research via the ideas he received while using the site. It is now and again perplexing just to choose to be handing out techniques which usually people could have been trying to sell. So we understand we need the website owner to be grateful to for this. The most important explanations you made, the easy blog menu, the relationships you will make it easier to create — it's got everything incredible, and it's really helping our son and our family feel that that subject is cool, and that is really pressing. Thank you for everything!

  27. I am only commenting to let you know of the magnificent encounter my cousin's princess enjoyed checking your web site. She came to understand so many pieces, including what it is like to have an incredible teaching mood to let the others with ease learn about specific hard to do subject matter. You really exceeded our own expectations. Thank you for giving these good, trusted, revealing not to mention fun guidance on that topic to Gloria.

  28. I am glad for commenting to let you be aware of what a helpful discovery my friend's girl went through viewing your site. She learned a wide variety of issues, most notably what it's like to possess a wonderful helping style to have the mediocre ones without problems understand chosen tricky subject areas. You undoubtedly did more than our own desires. Thanks for showing these useful, trustworthy, explanatory and also cool tips about your topic to Evelyn.

  29. I wish to convey my respect for your kind-heartedness in support of folks who have the need for help with this one situation. Your real commitment to passing the message up and down had been surprisingly helpful and have made most people much like me to realize their endeavors. The important help can mean a great deal to me and a whole lot more to my peers. Thank you; from each one of us.

  30. An fascinating dialogue is value comment. I believe that you should write extra on this matter, it won't be a taboo topic but typically individuals are not enough to talk on such topics. To the next. Cheers

  31. I simply wanted to appreciate you once again. I do not know what I would have implemented in the absence of the basics provided by you concerning this theme. This was an absolute difficult dilemma for me personally, nevertheless looking at a new skilled strategy you treated that took me to weep for delight. Now i am grateful for your information and as well , have high hopes you know what a powerful job you're undertaking educating some other people all through your web site. Most probably you've never got to know all of us.

  32. Thanks so much for giving everyone such a brilliant possiblity to discover important secrets from here. It is always very fantastic and as well , packed with a lot of fun for me and my office colleagues to visit the blog more than thrice in a week to read through the fresh stuff you have. Of course, I am also at all times happy with the splendid suggestions served by you. Selected 2 tips on this page are indeed the most effective we've ever had.

  33. I wanted to construct a simple message to express gratitude to you for some of the lovely tips you are giving on this site. My extended internet look up has at the end been paid with pleasant information to share with my contacts. I 'd say that we website visitors are truly blessed to dwell in a fantastic network with many special individuals with valuable tips. I feel really blessed to have seen your entire web page and look forward to some more fabulous times reading here. Thanks a lot again for a lot of things.

  34. I needed to compose you a bit of word in order to say thanks as before considering the magnificent concepts you've provided above. It was quite shockingly open-handed with people like you to offer extensively all that a few individuals would have marketed as an ebook to end up making some bucks for their own end, specifically since you could possibly have tried it if you desired. Those advice in addition served to provide a easy way to comprehend other people have a similar interest really like my own to find out a great deal more around this issue. Certainly there are millions of more pleasurable instances up front for people who start reading your blog.

  35. WONDERFUL Post.thanks for share...extra wait ... ?

  36. I precisely needed to say thanks once again. I am not sure the things I would have done in the absence of the type of tips shown by you regarding my problem. It was a difficult concern in my position, but noticing a professional style you processed that took me to jump with fulfillment. Now i am thankful for the advice and even trust you are aware of a great job you are accomplishing training the rest through your blog post. Most probably you've never encountered any of us.

  37. I'm also writing to make you know of the incredible encounter my wife's child undergone using your site. She noticed some things, with the inclusion of what it is like to possess a great teaching mood to have folks with no trouble master chosen multifaceted topics. You truly surpassed my desires. Thanks for supplying those informative, healthy, informative and also easy guidance on your topic to Kate.

Ваш отзыв

наверх Счетчик PR-CY.Rank