Лента новостей

Лента новостей

Экономика

Достичь дна

 

Столь частые в последнее время вангования господина Улюкаева, а также и его адептов Силуанова и лучшего экономиста всея мира Кудрина ничего, кроме улыбки, а подчас и раздражения, у экспертов и простых смертных не вызывает. Сколько можно издеваться над здравым смыслом и бедной дамой по имени «Экономика России». Такое словоблудие никогда ничем хорошим не заканчивалось и кому-кому, как нашим горе-реформаторам, не знать об этом.

Рекомендую также почитать статьи, приведённые в конце публикации.

Минэкономразвития собирается искать «дно» еще 20 лет

Александра КОЗЛОВА     Автор: Александра КОЗЛОВА

Суть прогноза МЭР до 2035 года можно кратко описать фразой «мы опять на дне». Эту метафору особенно любит глава ведомства Алексей Улюкаев


Ведомство составило прогноз на нашу жизнь аж до 2035 года

Минэкономразвития, похоже, взяло на себя функцию астрологов. В сентябре ведомство выпустило сценарий экономического развития на три года. Кстати, уже второй в этом году, уточненный. А теперь – направило в Минфин прогноз до 2035 года.

Интересно, что даже прогноз на этот год Минэкономразвития пересматривает до последнего. Последнее изменение было буквально неделю назад – экономисты «переписали» темпы роста экономики с 0,6 на 0,2%. И это при том, что от года-то уже остался пшик – можно не то, что прогнозы строить, а итоги подводить. А тут, шутка ли, прогноз на 20 лет вперед. О его точности эксперты стараются рассказать в самых «мягких» выражениях.

— Ведомство за месяц меняло свой прогноз трижды, — уточняет экономист Михаил Делягин. — Причем последний вариант был более или менее оптимистичным – нам обещали умеренный экономический рост к 2019 году. Теперь на подходе уже четвертый прогноз – и опять изменения. Теперь нас всех ждет 20-летняя стагнация. Когда люди меняют свой взгляд на мир с такой скоростью, наверное, на них просто не стоит обращать внимание.

Суть прогноза МЭР до 2035 года можно кратко описать фразой «мы опять на дне». Эту метафору особенно любит глава ведомства Алексей Улюкаев. Он объявлял о прохождении «дна» вместе с нашей экономикой раз 10 за год. Но вот, по новому прогнозу, нас ожидает 20- летняя стагнация в экономике. Экономический рост в 1,5% каждый год – на уровне бедных стран. Реальные доходы россиян вернутся на докризисный уровень только к 2021 году. И все опять благодаря вялому росту цен на нефть (до $78 в 2035 году). Что же это иное, как не «дно»?

Есть, правда, в документе и оптимистичный сценарий. Там описан какой-то мифический рост экономики на 4% в год. И переход на новую инвестиционную модель с благоприятным бизнес-климатом, ростом притока капитала. Жаль, МЭР не написало, откуда это все должно появиться. Наверное, напишет в следующем прогнозе. Кстати, за бюджетные деньги, которых нам вроде как катастрофически не хватает.

Метки: , , , ,

Отзывов (174) на «Прогноз от «водолаза» Улюкаева до 2035 года: «Мы опять на дне»»

  1. Hi there very cool site!! Guy ... Excellent ... Superb ... I will bookmark your web site and take the feeds additionally¡KI'm glad to search out so many helpful info right here within the post, we need work out more strategies in this regard, thank you for sharing. . . . . .

  2. I not to mention my buddies have been analyzing the good recommendations on your website and quickly developed an awful suspicion I never thanked the web site owner for those tips. Those guys became totally happy to study them and have truly been using these things. We appreciate you simply being very accommodating and then for figuring out this kind of beneficial issues millions of individuals are really eager to learn about. My very own honest regret for not saying thanks to sooner.

  3. Wow, awesome blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you made blogging look easy. The overall look of your web site is fantastic, as well as the content!

    • admin:

      Read my answers to frequently asked questions in a post attached to the main page of the site. On the rules for posting comments on the site, read on the main page in the post «For those who are new to the site.»

      With respect. Admin

  4. I have recently started a blog, the information you offer on this website has helped me greatly. Thank you for all of your time & work.

  5. This is really interesting, You're a very skilled blogger. I have joined your rss feed and look forward to seeking more of your wonderful post. Also, I have shared your web site in my social networks!

  6. I'm just writing to let you know of the brilliant encounter my wife's girl went through checking your web page. She discovered a good number of pieces, with the inclusion of how it is like to have a great teaching spirit to have folks effortlessly fully understand selected multifaceted things. You truly surpassed visitors' expectations. Many thanks for supplying these productive, trusted, explanatory and also fun thoughts on this topic to Evelyn.

  7. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this topic to be really something which I think I would never understand. It seems too complex and very broad for me. I am looking forward for your next post, I’ll try to get the hang of it!

  8. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this matter to be really something that I think I would never understand. It seems too complex and very broad for me. I'm looking forward for your next post, I’ll try to get the hang of it!

  9. hey there and thanks for your info – I have certainly picked up anything new from right here. I did however expertise some technical issues using this website, since I skilled to reload the web site many instances previous to I could get it to load correctly. I had been pondering if your hosting is OK? Not that I'm complaining, however sluggish loading instances occasions will sometimes have an effect on your placement in google and could harm your high quality score if ads and ***********|advertising|advertising|advertising and *********** with Adwords. Well I’m adding this RSS to my email and could look out for much more of your respective interesting content. Make sure you replace this once more very soon...

    • admin:

      I'm sorry, but I repeatedly gave answers to this question, you probably do not read. I do it for the last time. In the future, this comment will be removed, the more they write it at all stations without having to issue irrelevant. Read the rules of the site.

      Read my answers to frequently asked questions in a post attached to the main page of the site. On the rules for posting comments on the site, read on the main page in the post «For those who are new to the site.»

      With respect. Admin

  10. Hello there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found that it's really informative. I am going to watch out for brussels. I will appreciate if you continue this in future. Many people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!

  11. You can definitely see your enthusiasm in the work you write. The world hopes for even more passionate writers such as you who are not afraid to say how they believe. Always follow your heart.

  12. Excellent read, I just passed this onto a friend who was doing some research on that. And he just bought me lunch because I found it for him smile Therefore let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch!

  13. I have been exploring for a bit for any high quality articles or weblog posts in this kind of space . Exploring in Yahoo I eventually stumbled upon this website. Reading this information So i am happy to convey that I've an incredibly excellent uncanny feeling I discovered just what I needed. I so much no doubt will make certain to do not put out of your mind this website and provides it a look on a relentless basis.

  14. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this topic to be actually something which I think I would never understand. It seems too complex and extremely broad for me. I am looking forward for your next post, I’ll try to get the hang of it!

  15. I've been browsing online more than 3 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It is pretty worth enough for me. In my opinion, if all site owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the web will be a lot more useful than ever before.

  16. I like what you guys are up also. Such smart work and reporting! Keep up the excellent works guys I have incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it will improve the value of my web site :)

  17. Hello, i think that i saw you visited my site so i came to “return the favor”.I'm attempting to find things to enhance my web site!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!

наверх Счетчик PR-CY.Rank